NRCC MEMO: Poll Shows Kissell’s Campaign Sinking Fast

Good Afternoon,

Wanted to make sure you saw this memo from Brock McCleary, the NRCC’s Polling Director which the Charlotte Observer reported on this weekend. The memo shows, “Richard Hudson at 50 percent, with a 9-point lead over Democratic incumbent Larry Kissell.”

Please let me know if you have any questions. Thanks!

Andrea

TO:       INTERESTED PARTIES
FROM:  BROCK MCCLEARY, NRCC POLLING DIRECTOR
DATE:  SEPTEMBER 30, 2012
RE:       POLLING IN NORTH CAROLINA’S 8^TH DISTRICT

Fueled by reports that national Democrats have abandoned Congressman Larry Kissell in his re-election campaign, the NRCC conducted a poll in North Carolina’s Eighth District. The results explain why – Larry Kissell’s campaign is sinking fast with no chance of survival.

Congressional Ballot:

Larry Kissell                  41%

Richard Hudson            50%

Undecided                      9%

By every measure, this district is performing in a way that validates its R+12 partisan voting index rating.  Republicans lead by 16% on the generic congressional ballot.  This matches the 15% spread from the Hudson campaign’s poll in late August.

Generic Congressional Ballot:

Democratic                   38%

Republican                    54%

Undecided                    8%

Governor Romney holds a staggering 21% lead over President Obama.  The August survey showed a 20% lead for Romney.

Presidential Ballot:

Barack Obama              38%

Mitt Romney                 59%

Undecided                    6%

The interactive voice response (IVR) survey was conducted by the NRCC on September 25 with a sample size of 784 likely voters and a margin of error +/-3.5%.  The survey was weighted to a 2008-2010 hybrid turnout model:

Sample by party:

Democrats                    46%

Republicans                  37%

Independents                16%