NV-03: What The Heck?

From Hotline On Call: “In another sign that the environment has tilted away from Dems, a new poll out today shows Rep. Dina Titus (D-NV) tied with ex-state Sen. Joe Heck (R) in the Las Vegas suburbs.The Las Vegas Review-Journal survey, conducted 11/30-12/2, tested Titus, Heck and real estate developer Rob Lauer (R). The Mason-Dixon survey polled 300 registered voters for a margin of error of +/- 6%.

General Election Matchup

Titus        40%
Heck         40

Titus 48%
Lauer 32

This CD is tough enough for any incumbent to hold, as its transient population (it has grown by nearly 37% since ’00) makes it tough for any sitting Rep. to gain traction. Indeed, it has grown nearly 37% since ’00, and ex-Rep. Jon Porter (R), who had considerable campaign skills, never fully got a foothold here.

But this is the type of seat where Dems should still have an advantage. Pres. Obama easily won it with 55%, and Dems had been counting on the increased interest generated by the ’08 WH primary to cement their hold on the CD. Indeed, the Third now has a clear, 33K Dem voter-registration advantage. Just two years ago, the parties were at parity in the CD. …”

Read the Full Story Here.