AR 02: Griffin Poll Shows Big Lead

June 18, 2010

The NRCC’s Young Guns program hasn’t had the easiest time so far this year, but ex-US Attorney Tim Griffin (R) is one top party recruit who hasn’t disappointed. Now, a new survey for his campaign shows him leading his Dem challenger by a wide margin.

Griffin leads state Sen. Joyce Elliott (D) by a 50%-34% margin, according to the internal survey of likely voters in the Little Rock-area district. The poll shows Elliott is much better known than Griffin; still, Griffin’s big lead suggests long-time Dem voters are ready to vote for a GOPer.

Griffin also won backing from D.C. Morrison, the conservative Dem who pulled 13% in the Dem SEN primary. Morrison ran far to the right of both Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) and LG Bill Halter (D) and said he would endorse GOPers rather than Dems if he didn’t win the primary.

The GOPer showed off the poll, and announced Morrison’s endorsement, at the Little Rock Political Animals Club, Talk Business reported today. Elliott was in the crowd.

The survey, conducted June 13-14 by GOP firm OnMessage Inc., tested 400 likely voters for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%.

Elliott, an African-American office-holder, narrowly won a runoff election on June 8 after leading the first round by a wider margin. About 21% of the district is made up of African American voters.

Griffin won his race without a runoff last month. The 2 are racing to replace Rep. Vic Snyder (D), who announced his retirement last year.

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