CNN: The reason Dem incumbents are scared

September 18, 2023

House Republicans continue to field an impressive list of candidates that data shows can win anywhere in America.

These are moms, veterans and minority candidates, and CNN did a dive into why they could send incumbent Democrats packing in ’24.

In case you missed it…

Women, veterans and minorities key to House GOP’s suburban strategy
Melanie Zanona

In 2020, every single Republican who flipped a Democratic House seat was either a woman, veteran or minority.

Now, House Republicans are looking to replicate that same playbook in 2024 – when Donald Trump could once again be at the top of the ticket.

GOP officials have put a heavy emphasis this cycle on recruiting and boosting candidates from those three camps, which they see as essential in order to keep – and expand – their narrow majority next year. So far, nine veterans, five women and nine candidates of color have officially announced bids in suburban and Biden-won swing districts, according to an analysis provided to CNN by the National Republican Congressional Committee.

The latest candidate to throw their hat into the ring is Derrick Anderson, a combat veteran and former Green Beret who is vying to win the seat occupied by Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger of Virginia next fall. Anderson, who exclusively shared his plans with CNN, was personally recruited by Speaker Kevin McCarthy, the NRCC, and the Congressional Leadership Fund, a McCarthy aligned super PAC.

“I had a pretty large support network that had reached out to me. Leadership had said we think you should run again … (McCarthy) is the leader of the party, and there’s something to be said about that,” Anderson told CNN in an interview. “But it is about the people in the district.”

The reason the House GOP campaign arm sees veterans, women and minorities as key to the party’s success is because they tend to outperform the top of the ticket in suburban swing districts, where the battle for the House will be waged. The hope among Republicans is that this slate of candidates will help the GOP expand the map and compete in districts where they may not have otherwise had a shot.

Other Republican veterans running in swing districts include Prasanth Reddy, an Indian-American doctor and Air Force reserve officer who enlisted in the days following 9/11; Kevin Lincoln, a Mexican and African American Marine veteran who is currently the mayor of Stockton, California; Rob Mercuri, a West Point grad and Bronze Star recipient for his service in Iraq; and Colorado state Rep. Gabe Evans, an Army veteran and former police officer.

“Veterans, first responders, all of those folks that raise their right hand and say ‘I believe in something bigger than myself, to the point where I’m willing to lay down my life and die for that’ … I think that resonates with people,” Evans, who is running in the Denver suburbs, told CNN.

The NRCC is buoyed by data from the last presidential election showing that females running in suburban districts consistently outran Trump in 2020: Rep. Young Kim of California outperformed Trump by 6.6%, Rep. Michelle Steel of California outperformed him by 2.9%; Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar of Florida outran him by 3.3%; and Rep. Beth Van Duyne of Texas outran him by 3.3%.

Among the Republican women who have already announced bids in swing districts are Heidi Kasama, a Nevada state legislator and Vegas area realtor; Erin Paré, a small business owner who defeated a Democrat incumbent to win a seat in the North Carolina House of Representatives; and Margarita Wilkinson, a Hispanic media executive who was born in Mexico City.

“I think the key to resonating with suburban moms is being a suburban mom yourself,” Paré said.

Added Wilkinson: “The Latino vote, that’s my forte. I know their needs. I know how to reach them. I know how to connect with them … I can mobilize those groups.”

Read the full article here.