ICYMI: Retirements Spell Doom For House Democrats

November 29, 2023

Extreme House Democrats are running for the exits and top pundits agree that it’s dooming their chances of retaking the House. 

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Here’s How A Wave Of Dem Retirements Could Help The House GOP Grow Its Majority In 2024
Daily Caller
Mary Lou Masters

The House GOP appears to be in a better position to capitalize off of the retirements, as there are currently more competitive open seats left by Democrats than Republicans, according to political analysts and electoral rankings.

“In 2022, they massively outspent the Republicans running against them and that was a big reason why they were able to hold onto their seats, even while Democrats lost control of the House,” Wasserman told the DCNF. “And yet, we could be looking at a more level playing field in 2024 in these districts where both Republicans and Democrats could be spending similar amounts.”

“We always evaluate the balance sheet of open seats to determine which side has an advantage, and so far, Republicans are benefiting from more offensive opportunities in open seats, which is ironic considering that they’re the party that’s been in more turmoil, and could suffer a slate of retirements before all is said and done,” said Wasserman.

“So as of now, the Democrats have more vulnerable open seats. This is helpful to Republicans,” Kyle Kondik, nonpartisan polling analyst and managing editor for Sabato’s Crystal Ball, told the DCNF.

“Retirements can always have an impact on which party gains or loses seats,” Ron Faucheux, president of nonpartisan polling firm President of Clarus Research Group, told the DCNF in a statement. “It depends on the district composition of retiring members. At this point, retirements are another complication for Democrats to pick up the seats they need for a majority. Often retirements reflect re-election difficulty and that’s another factor.” 

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