NRCC Statement on Elizabeth Guzman

November 30, 2023

If you’re covering the Democrat campaign announcement in Virginia’s 7th Congressional District, please consider the following statement from the National Republican Congressional Committee:

“Elizabeth Guzman is a dyed-in-the-wool progressive, from her attempts to criminalize parental rights to her brand of Bernie Sanders’ socialism. Guzman makes the other Democrats in the race look like Democrats-in-name-only.” – NRCC Spokeswoman Delanie Bomar 

Background:

VA-07 is trending toward Republicans. A proprietary NRCC analysis of the 2023 Virginia legislative elections shows a trend in three underlying competitive state legislative races overlapping with the 7th Congressional District:

  • Senate District 27: Biden won Senate District 27 by 5.8% in 2020, but Republicans earned a 2.2% victory, an 8.0% GOP swing. 
  • House District 22: Biden won House District 22 by 5.3% in 2020, but Republicans earned a 5.4% victory, a 10.7% GOP swing.
  • House District 65: Biden won House District 65 by 11.6% in 2020, but Democrats earned only a 5.5% victory, a 6.1% GOP swing.
  • The average Republican swing in this district is 8.3%, well more than Biden’s 6.8% margin in 2020, and Spanberger’s 4.6% margin in 2022.