Republicans flip voter registration in open California 47th district

October 11, 2024

In a seismic shift, Republicans overtook Democrats in voter registration in Orange County’s highly competitive 47th district, boosting Scott Baugh.

The flip is part of a larger trend of Republican gains across competitive California races.

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NOTE: “While Democrats made Californians’ wallets into ATMs for big government spending and their streets into a playground for criminals, Republicans offer a common-sense approach to secure borders, fight crime and halt inflation. The result is this surge in GOP support as fed-up Orange County families fight back,” said Ben Petersen, a spokesperson for the National Republican Congressional Committee, which works to elect GOP candidates to the House.

Republicans gain voter registration advantage in key Orange County congressional district
Orange County Register
Kaitlyn Schallhorn

Republicans in Orange County — and across the state — have been making inroads this election cycle with registering voters. And with less than a month to go until Election Day, Republicans have gained a slight voter registration advantage in a key House district.

Registered Republican voters outnumber registered Democrats by 64 people in California’s open 47th congressional district as of Thursday, Oct. 10. That means Democrats and Republicans account for 34.9% each of the district’s 453,788 registered voters; 23.9% are registered no party preference.

In July, registered Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 1,909 voters, according to data from the county registrar of voters.

The 47th congressional race between former Assemblymember Scott Baugh and state Sen. Dave Min is one of the most closely watched House races in Southern California, home to several tight contests that will help determine which political party is in charge of the speaker’s gavel next year. 

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Still, Republicans are celebrating the new voter registration numbers.

“While Democrats made Californians’ wallets into ATMs for big government spending and their streets into a playground for criminals, Republicans offer a common-sense approach to secure borders, fight crime and halt inflation. The result is this surge in GOP support as fed-up Orange County families fight back,” said Ben Petersen, a spokesperson for the National Republican Congressional Committee, which works to elect GOP candidates to the House.

[…]

That slight shift to the red has been seen across the state as well, according to recent research from the Public Policy Institute of California, a nonpartisan think tank. PPIC found that Democrats are losing younger voters, as well as Latino, Black and Asian American voters. Latino voters are switching to the GOP at higher rates, while Black voters have also moved to other minor parties, according to the PPIC data.

The shift to red, according to the study, is “largely driven by voters switching from other parties to Republican, and it marks a departure from the broader pattern of independent voters moving to Democratic registration.”

Orange County voters can return their ballots in the mail or by dropping them off at one of the myriad vote centers or ballot drop boxes that have already opened around the county. Voters can also visit a vote center to pick up a new ballot, if the mailed one is lost or stolen, and vote in person or receive other election-related assistance.

Read more here.