NEW POLL: Bice leads Horn by 4
A new public poll in Oklahoma’s 5th Congressional District shows Stephanie Bice leading Kendra Horn 49% – 45%. This is the second public poll in a month showing Bice with a lead.
The poll also found 59% of voters with an unfavorable view of Nancy Pelosi (who Horn votes with 86% of the time).
In case you missed it…
Poll shows Bice with narrow lead over Horn
The Oklahoman
Chris Casteel
October 5, 2020
https://oklahoman.com/article/5673214/poll-shows-bice-with-narrow-lead-over-horn
Republican state Sen. Stephanie Bice has a four-point lead over Democratic U.S. Rep. Kendra Horn in the closely watched race in the 5th Congressional District, according to a new survey from an Oklahoma City polling firm.
The survey of 500 likely voters shows Bice leading Horn 49% to 45%, with 6% undecided. That is within the margin of error of 4.3%.
The poll was conducted Sept. 25-30 by Cole, Hargrave, Snodgrass and Associates. The Republican polling firm is not involved in the contest, according to Pat McFerron, a longtime pollster for the firm.
The poll shows President Donald Trump is only up by 6 percentage points in the district, which he won in 2016 by more than twice that. The district includes most of Oklahoma County and Pottawatomie and Seminole counties. Trump had 49% and former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic presidential nominee, had 43% in the poll.
Horn and Bice are both from Oklahoma City.
Regarding the 5th District race, McFerron said, “This contest will be very close. It will largely mirror the presidential contest and although there is a small amount of defining Bice that can still occur, this contest appears to be much more about motivation than persuasion.
“Given the current status of the presidential contest and the negative perception of (House Speaker) Nancy Pelosi, Bice should be considered a favorite one month out.”
Pelosi, a California Democrat, is featured in numerous negative ads now running against Horn. The ads cite voting records in the House to portray Horn as an ally of the speaker. According to McFerron’s poll, 59% of voters in Horn’s district have an unfavorable opinion of Pelosi.