NRCC Statement on Elizabeth Guzman
If you’re covering the Democrat campaign announcement in Virginia’s 7th Congressional District, please consider the following statement from the National Republican Congressional Committee:
“Elizabeth Guzman is a dyed-in-the-wool progressive, from her attempts to criminalize parental rights to her brand of Bernie Sanders’ socialism. Guzman makes the other Democrats in the race look like Democrats-in-name-only.” – NRCC Spokeswoman Delanie Bomar
Background:
VA-07 is trending toward Republicans. A proprietary NRCC analysis of the 2023 Virginia legislative elections shows a trend in three underlying competitive state legislative races overlapping with the 7th Congressional District:
- Senate District 27: Biden won Senate District 27 by 5.8% in 2020, but Republicans earned a 2.2% victory, an 8.0% GOP swing.
- House District 22: Biden won House District 22 by 5.3% in 2020, but Republicans earned a 5.4% victory, a 10.7% GOP swing.
- House District 65: Biden won House District 65 by 11.6% in 2020, but Democrats earned only a 5.5% victory, a 6.1% GOP swing.
- The average Republican swing in this district is 8.3%, well more than Biden’s 6.8% margin in 2020, and Spanberger’s 4.6% margin in 2022.